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黄河流域绿色发展与共同富裕耦合协调水平变化及其影响因素

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Spatiotemporal Evolution and Influencing Factors of the Coupling Coordination Level Between Green Development and Common Prosperity in the Yellow River Basin

摘要: 文章在解析绿色发展与共同富裕耦合协调机理基础上,采用耦合协调度模型对2011—2020年黄河流域绿色发展效率与共同富裕发展耦合协调水平进行了测度,并运用探索性空间数据分析和地理探测器对绿色发展与共同富裕耦合协调度的时空演变特征及影响因素进行了分析。结果表明:①研究期内黄河流域绿色发展效率缓慢波动上升,空间上呈现“下游>中游>上游”的梯度格局特征;共同富裕指数呈稳步提升的演变轨迹,空间分布上由低水平均衡向高水平不均衡格局演进。②研究期内黄河流域绿色发展与共同富裕耦合协调度呈阶段性波动上升趋势,空间上形成以省会城市为高水平协调中心的“中心—外围式”圈层结构;绿色发展与共同富裕耦合协调度存在正向空间自相关性,并具有高—高集聚与低—低集聚的空间俱乐部趋同效应,但空间自相关性趋于减弱。③金融发展、科技创新、数字经济和城镇化水平是驱动黄河流域绿色发展与共同富裕耦合协调空间分异的主导因子,影响因子对耦合协调度的作用强度存在显著的空间异质性,且各因子交互作用后的解释力具有双因子增强和非线性增强特征。

Abstract: This study analyzes the coupling coordination mechanism between green development and common prosperity in the Yellow River basin,and uses the coupling coordination degree model to measure the coupling coordination relationship between green development efficiency and common prosperity development in the Yellow River basin from 2011 to 2020. It analyzes the spatial-temporal evolution characteristics and influencing factors of the coupling coordination degree between green development and common prosperity using the exploratory spatial data analysis and the geographical detector. The research shows that: 1) The green development efficiency in the Yellow River basin exhibited slow growth and fluctuation from 2011 to 2020,with a spatial gradient pattern of "downstream > midstream > upstream". The common prosperity index showed a steady upward trajectory of evolution,and its spatial distribution evolved from a low-level equilibrium pattern to a high-level imbalance pattern. 2) The coupling coordination degree between green development and common prosperity in the Yellow River basin demonstrated an upward fluctuation trend,forming a "center-periphery" circle structure with provincial capital city as the high-level coordination center in space. The coupling coordination degree between green development and common prosperity has positive spatial autocorrelation,and has the spatial club convergence effect characterized by high-high agglomeration and low-low agglomeration,but it tended towards weakening spatial autocorrelation. 3) Financial development,sci-tech- innovation,digital economy and urbanization level are the leading factors driving the spatial differentiation of the coupling coordination between green development and common prosperity in the Yellow River basin. There is a significant spatial heterogeneity in the effect strength of the influencing factors on the coupling coordination degree,and the explanatory power of each factor interaction has the characteristics of double factor enhancement and nonlinear enhancement.

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[V1] 2024-10-31 11:43:13 PSSXiv:202411.01532V1 下载全文
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