Provincial-level New Quality Productive Forces in China: Evaluation,Spatial Pattern and Evolution Characteristics
摘要: 加快形成和发展新质生产力是当今社会经济发展的必然要求。文章从新质生产力的现实基础和现实表现两个维度构建新质生产力综合指标体系,借助遗传算法优化的投影寻踪模型确定指标权重,测算2013—2022年中国30个省份的新质生产力水平,并采用Dagum基尼系数、Kernel密度估计、Moran's I、引力模型等方法分析了中国近10年省域新质生产力的空间演化及关联特征。结果表明:①中国省域新质生产力水平呈东高西低的梯度发展特征;②新质生产力水平在差异中不断上升,且差异逐渐降低,各省份之间呈现“低—高”和“高—低”聚集的空间格局特征;③地区间的引力关联强度逐渐复杂化、稠密化,并与新质生产力水平大致呈正比。研究结论对于提高新质生产力水平,推动经济高质量发展具有重要的现实意义。
Abstract: Accelerating the formation and development of new quality productive forces is an inevitable requirement for social and economic development. This paper constructs a comprehensive index system of the new quality productive forces (NQPF) from two dimensions: the realistic basis and the realistic performance of the NQPF. It determines the weights of the indexes using the projection tracing model optimized by genetic algorithm,measures the NQPF level in 30 provincial-level regions of China from 2013 to 2022,and analyzes the spatial pattern and evolution characteristics of provincial-level NQPF in China over the past decade using the methods of Dagum-Gini coefficient,Kernel's density estimation,Moran's I,gravitational model and so on. The results show that: 1) The level of China's provincial-level NQPF shows the characteristic of gradient development which is higher in the east of China and lower in the west of China. 2) The level of NQPF is increasing across regions,while the differences are gradually decreasing. The spatial pattern between provincial-level regions shows the characteristics of "low-high" and "high-low" agglomeration. 3) The intensity of gravitational correlation between provincial-level regions is becoming more complicated and dense,and is roughly proportional to the level of NQPF. The research holds great practical significance for improving the NQPF level and promoting high-quality economic development.
[V1] | 2024-10-31 14:45:00 | PSSXiv:202411.01537V1 | 下载全文 |
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