摘要: 文章基于2006—2019年的省级面板数据,通过构建全国—省份—陆海三层架构的一般均衡模型,测算了沿海11个省份内部以及省际因海陆生产要素配置扭曲而造成的全要素生产率(TFP)损失程度,并分析了其演化趋势。结果表明:①2019年我国整体海陆间生产要素配置扭曲导致TFP损失了2.68%。与陆地经济相比,各省份在海洋经济上的要素投入仍然不足,尤其是天津、河北、山东、上海、江苏、福建等地区有高达40%以上的投入缺口。②省际海洋生产要素配置扭曲导致TFP损失高达6.18%,远高于同期陆地生产要素的错配,且存在逐年加重的趋势。③从各省份的海洋生产要素投入来看,劳动要素中辽宁、广西、海南投入过度,上海、江苏、福建等地的投入均不足;资本要素中天津、辽宁存在一半以上过剩,而上海、江苏、浙江由于自身海洋经济的快速发展,其现有资本投入处于相对短缺状态。各省份应进一步提高海洋部门生产要素投入,以促进陆地和海洋的协调发展,加快建设全国统一大市场中的陆海统筹。
Abstract: This paper constructs a general equilibrium model with a three-tier structure encompassing national,provincial,and land-sea levels based on the provincial panel data from 2006 to 2019. Based on the model,the paper assesses the loss of total factor productivity (TFP) both within and among the 11 coastal provincial-level regions caused by the misallocation of the production factor of marine and inland,and analyzes the evolutionary trend of this misallocation. The results show: 1) The misallocation of production factor between marine and inland has caused the TFP loss by 2.68% in 2019. Compared with the inland economy,the inputs of marine sector in each provincial-level regions are still insufficient,especially in Tianjin, Hebei,Shandong,Shanghai,Jiangsu and Fujian,which have an input gap of over 40%. 2) The TFP loss caused by the misallocation of marine production factors among provincial-level regions is up to 6.18%,significantly higher than the misallocation of inland production factors in the same period,with a trend of worsening year by year. 3) From the input of marine production factors in various provincial-level regions,in terms of labor factors,the inputs in Liaoning,Guangxi,and Hainan are excessive,while those in Shanghai,Jiangsu and Fujian are insufficient. In terms of capital factors,the inputs in Tianjin and Liaoning have more than half of the surplus,while Shanghai,Jiangsu and Zhejiang are insufficient due to the rapid development of their own marine economy. Meanwhile,each provincial-level regions should further increase the input of production factors in the marine sector to promote the coordinated development,and accelerate the construction of land-sea coordination as part of the unified national market.
[V1] | 2024-07-26 10:45:28 | PSSXiv:202407.00982V1 | 下载全文 |
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