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对外直接投资对我国产业结构升级的影响研究

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Infl uence of Outward Foreign Direct Investment on the Upgrading of China's Industrial Structure

摘要: 对外直接投资(OFDI)在推动我国产业结构升级中扮演着重要角色。为了考察OFDI对我国产业结构升级的影响,本文运用调整后的钱纳里标准结构模型,测算了我国2010—2019年30个省(自治区、直辖市)的产业结构指数,实证分析了OFDI对地区产业结构调整的影响。研究发现,技术进步放大了OFDI对我国产业结构提升的影响,OFDI的影响具有明显的区域差异性,OFDI通过技术进步这一途径推动我国西部区域产业结构提升的作用更大。同时,OFDI通过技术进步这一途径显著地带动了第二产业占比提升,影响了产业结构。研究结论表明,为了更好地实现OFDI的积极影响,各地区应加大科技转换力度,助力技术进步,同时结合现有产业结构特征合理发挥OFDI的作用。

Abstract: Outward foreign direct investment (OFDI) plays an important role in promoting the upgrading of China's industrial structure. To examine the impact of OFDI on China's industrial structure upgrading, this paper, using the adjusted Chenery's "standard structure" model, measures and calculates the industrial structure index of 30 provinces (autonomous regions and municipalities) in China from 2010 to 2019, and empirically analyzes the impact of OFDI on regional industrial restructuring. The research shows that technological progress enlarges the infl uence of OFDI on China's industrial structure upgrading, and there are signifi cant regional diff erences in the infl uence of OFDI, with OFDI playing a greater role in promoting industrial structure upgrading in the Western region of China through the channel of technological progress. At the same time, OFDI has signifi cantly increased the proportion of secondary industry through technological progress and aff ected the industrial structure. The fi ndings of this paper suggest that to better realize OFDI's positive impact, all regions should strengthen scientifi c and technological transformation to facilitate technological progress while rationally playing the role of OFDI in combination with the characteristics of the existing industrial structure.

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[V1] 2024-09-10 10:46:27 PSSXiv:202409.00982V1 下载全文
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