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跨境电商综合试验区建设促进城市就业:事实与机制

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Construction of Cross-border E-commerce Comprehensive Pilot Zones to Promote Urban Employment: Facts and Mechanism

摘要: 就业关系千家万户,是最基本的民生。中国跨境电子商务综合试验区建设能否成为“稳就业”的重要“抓手”和赋能高质量充分就业的“新引擎”,是一个值得探讨的问题。本文基于2011—2020年中国273个地级市面板数据,采用多期双重差分模型(DID)评估跨境电商综合试验区建设对城市就业的政策影响,并探讨了其影响机制。结果表明:(1)跨境电商综合试验区建设显著促进了城市就业水平的提升以及就业形式的多样化;经内生性检验、平行趋势检验等稳健性检验之后,该结论依然成立。(2)对作用机制分析发现,跨境电商综合试验区建设可通过发挥经济集聚效应、释放城市创新创业活力和优化产业结构三种途径推动城市就业。(3)异质性分析发现,跨境电商综合实验区设立对我国中西部地区增长的促进作用更明显。

Abstract: Employment, affecting thousands of families, is the most basic component of the people’s wellbeing. It is worth discussing whether the construction of China's cross-border e-commerce comprehensive pilot zones can become a key "leverage" for "stabilizing employment" and a "new engine" to empower high-quality and full employment. Drawing from panel data spanning 273 prefecture-level cities in China from 2011 to 2020, this paper employs a multiperiod difference-in-differences (DID) model to evaluate the impact of the construction of cross-border e-commerce
comprehensive pilot zones on urban employment policies, and employs the underlying mechanisms of this impact. The results show that: (1) the construction of cross-border e-commerce comprehensive pilot zones markedly enhances urban employment levels and diversifi es the forms of employment; this conclusion remains true even after the endogeneity test, parallel trend test and other robustness tests; (2) the analysis of the mechanism reveals that the construction of cross-border e-commerce comprehensive pilot zones can promote urban employment by leveraging the economic agglomeration eff ect, injecting vitality into innovation and entrepreneurship, and optimizing industrial structure; (3) heterogeneity analysis indicates that the construction of cross-border e-commerce comprehensive pilot zones plays a more pronounced role in stimulating the growth of central and western China.

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[V1] 2024-09-23 16:56:43 PSSXiv:202409.01865V1 下载全文
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